A tropical depression is expected to form in the southwestern Gulf this week, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said in its outlook issued at 8 p.m. Eastern time on Monday, October 5.

A trough of low pressure, labeled AL92, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Forecasters give it a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within 48 hours and an 80% chance within seven days.

The system is expected to drift east-northeast over the next couple of days and then turn north. The center said it is too early to say what the effects will be on the northern Gulf Coast of the United States, and it asked people there to follow the forecasts.

There were no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic on Monday. Forecasters are also tracking a tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles that is moving west with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

No system currently threatens Haiti. The Atlantic hurricane season runs through November 30, and October storms often form in the western Caribbean and the Gulf. Check the National Hurricane Center and Haiti's weather service for updates.